Tracking the Probabilities Fund Management's Q3-Q4 Changes in Holdings: A Look at the Top Gainers and Losers

The third and fourth quarters of 2021 brought significant changes to Probabilities Fund Management's 13F holdings, per the latest filing. In this blog post, we'll take a closer look at the top gainers and losers in the portfolio, as well as the factors behind these changes.

Introduction

Probabilities Fund Management is a private investment firm that manages over $400 million in assets. The firm's investment approach is centered on probabilities, and it seeks to identify patterns and trends in the market to achieve superior returns. As part of its investment strategy, Probabilities Fund Management discloses its holdings every quarter via the 13F filings with the SEC. In this blog post, we'll analyze the Q3-Q4 changes in holdings of the firm, covering the top gainers and losers in the portfolio.

Main Body

The following are the top gainers in the Probabilities Fund Management's portfolio in Q4 2021:

1. MSFT: The firm increased its holdings in Microsoft Corporation from 3,720 shares in Q3 to 3,720 shares in Q4, recording a 19.3% increase in the value of the holdings.

2. AMAT: Probabilities Fund Management maintained its holdings of 2,670 shares of Applied Materials Inc, but the value of the holdings increased by 22.1%.

3. STZ: The firm held its holdings of 1,624 shares of Constellation Brands Inc but recorded an increase in the value of the holdings by 19.3%.

On the other hand, the following are the top losers in the Probabilities Fund Management's portfolio in Q4 2021:

1. DIA: The firm decreased its holdings in the SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF from 16,530 shares in Q3 to 14,970 shares in Q4, resulting in a 2.7% decrease in the value of the holdings.

2. IIPR: Probabilities Fund Management reduced its holdings in Innovative Industrial Properties Inc by 1,000 shares, resulting in an 8.2% decrease in the value of the holdings.

3. VOO: The company decreased its holdings in the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF from 14,170 shares in Q3 to 12,800 shares in Q4. However, the decrease did not affect the value of the holdings.

Factors behind the changes

The changes in the Probabilities Fund Management's holdings could be attributed to several factors, including market trends, economic indicators, and company-specific events. For instance, the increase in the firm's holdings in Microsoft could be due to the company's strong financial performance. Microsoft posted better-than-expected earnings results for Q3, driven by the growth in the cloud computing segment. Similarly, the rise in the value of the holdings in Applied Materials could be attributed to the surge in demand for semiconductors, which is critical to the company's operations.

On the other hand, the decrease in the holdings of SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF could be due to the uncertainty in the market caused by the continuing COVID-19 pandemic. The reduced holdings in Innovative Industrial Properties Inc could be due to the company's underperformance in Q3.

Conclusion

Probabilities Fund Management's Q3-Q4 changes in holdings reveal the firm's continued focus on investing in companies with strong fundamentals and growth prospects. The changes in the portfolio reflect the company's readiness to adjust to market trends and economic indicators to achieve superior returns. While the firm's holdings experienced some degree of volatility in Q4 2021, it remains optimistic about the long-term prospects of its portfolio as it continues to navigate the dynamic investment landscape.